Get Started for Free Contexxia identifies hard-to-find pieces of information in SEC filings. No more highlighters, no more redlining, no more poring over huge documents. United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP (1405528) 10-K published on Mar 13, 2020 at 12:17 pm
The current presidential administration has called for significant changes to U.S. trade, healthcare, immigration, foreign and government regulatory policy. Accordingly, there is significant uncertainty with respect to legislation, regulation and government policy at the federal level, as well as the state and local levels. Recent events have created heightened uncertainty and introduced new and difficult-to-quantify macroeconomic and political risks. There has been a corresponding increase in the uncertainty surrounding interest rates, inflation, foreign exchange rates, trade volumes and fiscal and monetary policy. To the extent the U.S. Congress or the current presidential administration implements changes to U.S. policy, those changes may impact, among other things, the U.S. and global economy, international trade and relations, unemployment, immigration, corporate taxes, healthcare, the U.S. regulatory environment, inflation, supply and demand for commodities (including crude oil), and other areas. Although UNL cannot predict the impact, if any, of these changes to UNL’s business, they could adversely affect UNL’s business, financial condition, operating results and cash flows.
In June 2016, the United Kingdom held a referendum in which voters approved an exit from the European Union (“Brexit”) and, following the House of Commons having passed a Brexit deal on December 20, 2019, the U.K. formally left the European Union on January 31, 2020. The U.K. is currently in a transition period until December 31, 2020, when agreements surrounding trade and other aspects of the U.K.’s future relationship with the European Union will need to be finalized. Until such agreements are finalized, there will be political and economic uncertainty in the United Kingdom and the European Union. In addition, the fiscal and monetary policies of foreign nations, such as Russia and China, may have a severe impact on the worldwide and U.S. commodity markets. Such disruptions could adversely impact the value of USL’s investments.
Crude Oil Market. During the year ended December, 31 2019, crude oil prices traded in a range between $45.33 to $66.30. Crude oil rose 34.46% from the end of 2018 through December 31, 2019 finishing the year at $54.07. Crude prices peaked in April and declined through October as a result of falling global growth forecasts, negative economic news, and persistently declining oil demand growth, all of which were at least partially the result of the ongoing trade wars. Prices briefly spiked 14.68% following the September 16, 2019 attacks on Saudi oil facilities that knocked out five percent of global daily supply, but quickly fell back on ongoing negative sentiment and economic news. Prices rose again in the fourth quarter of 2019, as global crude oil and liquid fuels inventories declined slightly, OPEC signaled and delivered further output cuts, the U.S. and China reached a “Phase One” trade deal, and further geopolitical risks surfaced. While OPEC has been aggressive about meeting target cuts, continued growth in U.S. shale production also threatens to oversupply the market relative to demand growth. All three major energy agencies (OPEC, EIA, IEA) have lowered their 2020 demand growth forecasts. Should demand continue moderating or turn negative, crude prices would likely fall further. However, geopolitical risk has increased, while a geopolitical risk premium only briefly materialized in the price of crude. Further surprise attacks on crude infrastructure or conflicts in the Middle East would likely create volatility to the upside, should such events occur.
USL commenced investment operations on December 6, 2007 and has a fiscal year ending on December 31. USCF is responsible for the management of USL. USCF is a member of the National Futures Association (the “NFA”) and became registered as a commodity pool operator with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (the “CFTC”) effective December 1, 2005 and a swaps firm on August 8, 2013. USCF is also the general partner of the United States Oil Fund, LP (“USO”), the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (“UNG”) and the United States Gasoline Fund, LP (“UGA”), which listed their limited partnership shares on the AMEX under the ticker symbols “USO” on April 10, 2006, “UNG” on April 18, 2007 and “UGA” on February 26, 2008, respectively. As a result of the acquisition of the AMEX by NYSE Euronext, each of USO’s, UNG’s and UGA’s shares commenced trading on the NYSE Arca on November 25, 2008. USCF is also the general partner of the United States 12 Month Natural Gas Fund, LP (“UNL”) and the United States Brent Oil Fund, LP (“BNO”), which listed their limited partnership shares on the NYSE Arca under the ticker symbols “UNL” on November 18, 2009 and “BNO” on June 2, 2010, respectively. USCF previously served as the general partner for the United States Short Oil Fund, LP (“DNO”) and the United States Diesel-Heating Oil Fund, LP (“UHN”), both of which were liquidated in 2018.
USCF is also the sponsor of the United States Commodity Index Fund (“USCI”), the United States Copper Index Fund (“CPER”) and the USCF Crescent Crypto Index Fund (“XBET”), each a series of the United States Commodity Index Funds Trust (“USCIFT”). USCF previously served as the sponsor for the United States Agricultural Index Fund (“USAG”) a series of USCIFT which was liquidated in 2018. XBET is currently in registration and has not commenced operations. USCI and CPER listed their shares on the NYSE Arca under the ticker symbols “USCI” on August 10, 2010 and “CPER” on November 15, 2011, respectively.
In August 2018, the FASB issued Accounting Standards Update (“ASU”) No. 2018-13, which changes certain fair value measurement disclosure requirements. The new ASU, in addition to other modifications and additions, removes the requirement to disclose the amount and reasons for transfers between Level 1 and Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy, and the Funds’ policy for the timing of transfers between levels. The amendments are effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2019, and interim periods within those fiscal years. The Fund has evaluated the implications of certain provisions of the ASU and has determined that there will be no material impacts to the financial statements.